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PUBLICATIONS

Prof. Dr. Kondratyev K. Ya.


 

Articles

 

Key aspects of global climate change

 

  In context of the results of the World Climate Change Conference which took place in Moscow during the time period September 29 October 3 (WCCC 2003) an analysis has been made of key issues of contemporary global climate change. The principal attention has been paid to the discussion of uncertainties of existing observation data and numerical modelling results. As fas as numerical modelling is concerned, a necessity has been emphasized of an analysis of present day models from the viewpoint of their ability to simulate real climate change which results from nonlinear interactions between numerous climatic systems components taking also into account potential contributions of cosmic factors such as solar activity.

 

 

Uncertainties of Climate Observation Data and Simulation Modelling

 

An analysis has been made of key issues of contemporary global climate change. The principal attention has been paid to the discussion of uncertainties   of existing observation data and numerical modelling results. As far as numerical modelling is concerned a necessity has been emphasized of an analysis of present day models from the viewpoint of their variability to simulate real climate change which results from nonlinear interactions between numerous climatic systems components taking also into account potential contributions of cosmic factors such as solar activity.

 

 

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